2 Reasons Russia’s Vladimir Putin Could Invade Ukraine and U.S, NATO Would Not Intervene
It is highly likely that at anytime soon Russian leader Vladimir Putin could order the full-scale invasion of Ukraine and the West - the United States and NATO specifically - will offer little or no resistance at all.
Economic sanctions would be readily used against Moscow once Russian troops started pouring in deep into Ukrainian borders, which according to numerous reports is already happening in picket occurrences, that is granted but the general reaction from the West would stop shot of armed confrontation.
An earlier report by Reuters (republished by Business Insider) this year had suggested that Washington and its allies would be in a dilemma in the event that Putin would be bold enough to topple the current government in Kiev by violent means.
One scenario to crop up is that Western leaders would hesitate to meet force with force as they will need to weigh in on a number of crucial considerations prior to taking actions.
Kiev not yet NATO member
Once Russian tanks came barreling in and missiles raining down into Ukraine, NATO is not under obligation to rush to the aid of the beleaguered nation. As pointed out in the Reuters report, Kiev is not a NATO cardholder and it is doubtful if the status will see an upgrade soon.
"Ukraine ... is not a member and Western officials say is unlikely to become one any time soon," the report added.
In the same report, it was highlighted, in fact, that Ukrainians cannot expect NATO or the U.S. to get involve in direct military actions in case the present tense situation Kiev and Moscow further deteriorates.
The most that the nation can expect from the West are declaration of supports and attempts to slow down or bluff the Russians into retreating through series of economic sanctions but nothing more, Reuters said in quoiting a former U.S. State department official.
Avoiding nuclear showdown
In view of recent reports that the Kremlin is raring and ready for a nuclear slugfest with the U.S. and its allies, the West will do its best to escalate any conflicts with the Russians into a shooting war irrespective of the cause and reasons.
"The reality is that U.S. and European leaders want to avoid a potentially nuclear superpower confrontation," Reuters said.
This can be explained by reports that Moscow under Putin has never been prepared to engage into a nuclear war with its enemies than now, considering its level of preparedness and tactical advantages, both in conventional and nuclear warfare.
And what could really inhibit the United States and NATO from dealing with force on Moscow-instigated aggressions against its neighboring nations is the likelihood that it is Russia that will emerge as the winner.