Australia Labor Party Snubbed by Male Voters, Coalition Scores - Nielsen Poll
The Australia Labor Party poll dropped three points at 43 per cent as compared to the Coalition, which went up three points at 57 per cent, as published by Nielsen poll today through Fairfax papers.
Nielsen's research director John Stirton explained that male voters were leaving the Australian Labor Party "quite dramatically."
In an interview with ABC Radio, Mr. Stirton said that, "We're seeing a 7 per cent swing against Labor, which is fairly consistent with the polling we've seen for the last four months or so. A 7 per cent swing nationwide would see the Coalition gaining about 25-26 seats, Labor losing roughly the same, and that would give the Coalition a big majority."
Mr. Stirton explained the specifics, "We've got Labor's primary vote down seven points amongst men, but up one amongst women. We've got Labor's two-party preferred vote down 10 amongst men, p two amongst women, and approval of Julia Gillard down eight amongst men, and steady amongst women.
The blow to Prime Minister Julia Gillard continued as the Fairfax poll said that Labor's primary vote will recover to 40 per cent, with the Coalition dropping to 42, if the party shifts its leadership to Mr. Kevin Rudd. Fairfax claimed that with Mr. Rudd leading the party, the two party-preferred vote "would de dead" on 50 per cent for both parties.
The poll was released following as rumors of leadership tensions between Ms. Gillard and Mr. Rudd had been brewing for some months as two MP's called for a switch in leadership.
Mr. Stirton said, "With Kevin Rudd as leader the best case for Labor is a possible hung Parliament. This assumes a perfectly smooth transition from Gillard to Rudd, a supportive party united behind Mr. Rudd and a honeymoon that continues to election day. More realistically, Mr. Rudd would probably retain more seats than Ms. Gillard but he would be unlikely to retain government on these numbers."
It looked like, Prime Minister Gillard and rival Mr. Abbott now share the same fate as surveys also showed that Mr. Abbott is "less popular" among voters that the party's previous leader Mr. Malcom Turnbull.
Mr. Abbott was asked about his reaction to the latest poll saying that men were already leaving the Australian Labor Party. He hinted that the drop in polls maybe attributed to Ms. Gillard's playing the gender war. However, surprisingly, he expressed his disapproval to this kind of tactic.
Mr. Abbott said, "I think the government of Australia and the Prime Minister of Australia should be above playing these sorts of cards. Whether it is the gender card, the class card, the where-you-are-born card. We should be bigger and better than that."
Mr. Stirton also viewed that the gender war waged by PM Gillard was a great contributor to the drop in polls of the Labor Party.
He said, "I'm assuming the events of last week have something to do with that, that those gender speeches and accusations of misogyny and all that sort of thing have played out, it would appear, negatively among men."