FM Rudd: Expect no Arab Spring in China
China's coming leadership shifts are all part of its political routine and do not promise fundametal change.
This according to Australian Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd, who added that the scheduled ascension of current Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping to the Communist Party's top post next year will likely be attended by perfunctory ceremonies, and nothing else.
In New York last week to address the Asia Society, Rudd stressed that China's history proved the country's uncanny ability to see it through leadership transitions, taming the turbulence forecast by China experts whenever a key Chinese leader bows out.
China last saw its major political upheaval when Deng Xiaoping was ushered back into the national leadership in the late 1970s and was tasked to build from the ruins spawned by the catastrophic experiment rolled out in the previous years by Mao Zedong and his minions.
Anchored on his firm belief that "enriching oneself in not a sin," Deng implemented all-embracing reforms that gradually transformed China from a cloistered and backward agricultural nation to its current status as the world's second biggest economy.
Rudd noted that since Deng's almost silent exit, three Chinese leaders emerged after him and departed without glitch, overlooking, however, the Tiananmen Square slaughter in 1989 that saw the deaths of thousands of young Chinese dissidents.
China's present prosperity and stability, the foreign minister said, can be attributed to Beijing's 'exceptional diligence' in meeting the general needs of the Chinese people and skillfully nudging them out of poverty.
Rudd told his audience that while China still faces considerable challenges like environmental, corruption and human rights issues, these problems do not sum up the country's present disposition.
They also do not indicate that a turmoil will engulf China, much like what transpired in a number of Arab nations, once the present Chinese leadership gives way to the new generation of leaders, who are expected to assume more control of the government under Xi's watch.
The Arab Spring phenomenon will not be replicated in China, the former prime minister said.
"I have so far found no evidence to support the multiple analyses over several decades now that China was on the verge of breaking up, or its rising middle class was about to bring about a Chinese version of the Arab Spring and with it the collapse of Communist Party rule," Rudd was quoted by Agence France Presse as saying on Friday.
Those who believe otherwise do not fully understand the inner workings and dynamics of China's economic and political system, Rudd said.