The Forex Market Insight Report shows charts on different major currencies and commodities, with brief commentaries on how new data releases and news cause movements in the market.

Headline:

  • Risk heavily sold on Friday after US sees shock zero jobs growth
  • AUD/USD sent sharply lower on Friday, opens lower again this morning
  • Euro, pound also plunge on worldwide selling
  • Gold seen as only safe haven as it jumps more than $40 per ounce on Friday
  • Equities markets crushed on news, hopes of QE3 no solace
  • Massive week of data: Aussie RBA and employment, EUR and GBP rates, and Chinese inflation on Friday
  • Don’t forget US and Canada closed today for public holiday

AUD/USD
The AUD/USD has come back to long term support at 1.0600 and the bulls will be hoping this final line holds. The market is likely to remain bullish while 1.0600 holds and this could provide a good entry level for medium-term long positions.

XAU/USD
Gold surged on Friday with the majority of the gains seen before the US jobs numbers after the 1840 levels was broken. An attack on the all-time highs now seems likely with traders using a break to new highs as a chance for new longs.

EUR/USD
Friday’s break of 1.4230 has triggered further selling and traders will remain focused on the downside in the near term. Eventual targets for the down move are back to 1.4050. This morning’s gap lower could result in short-term resistance at 1.4180 and this can be used for intra-day shorts.

GBP/USD
Friday’s troubling jobs numbers out of the States had little impact on GBP/USD and this means we will maintain our neutral view of this market. As per Friday’s report, support is seen at 1.6135 while resistance is seen at 1.6200.

USD/JPY
The USD/JPU saw a sharp reaction lower on Friday’s jobs numbers, but the market was unable to hold the lower levels and bounce before getting to suport. As we’ve discussed for close to a month now, the USD/JPY continues to provide selling opportunities on any move back to 77.00/20. Targets for short positions will be back to 76.50

SILVER
Silver benefited from the move higher we saw in gold on Friday. Traders will be waiting for a break above 44.00 to take new long positions, while any pullback to 42.00 will also be seen as buyable.

USD/CHF
The USD/CHF plunged more than 200 pips on Friday in a sign that the bears have reasserted control over this market. Like the USD/JPY, the initial move lower on the jobs number was bought up and this could be suggestive of some short-term gains today. That said, traders will be waiting for new chances to short from higher levels.

GBP/JPY
The GBP/JPY is currently trading near the short-term lows. A break of 124.00 could produce a move back to 123.50. The focus remains resolutely on the downside.

AUD/JPY
Like the AUD/AUD, the Aussie-yen looks to be heading back to medium-term support at 81.20. The pair will need to hold this level to have traders remain bullish; a break below 81.20 will change the market’s view to bearish.

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OIL
Crude was hit lower by the poor jobs numbers out of the US, but managed to hold support at 87.70. While crude can hold above 87.70, traders are likely to remain bullish.

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