Forex Market Insight 06/01/2011
The Forex Market Insight Report shows charts on different major currencies and commodities, with brief commentaries on how new data releases and news cause movements in the market.
Headline:
- Risk appetite continues to grow as Dow strengthens for fourth straight day
- EUR gains further on Greek bailout hopes, but GBP eases
- AUD trades back to support a 1.0680, all eyes on GDP result at 11.30am
- Gold, oil both trades back new recent highs
- Key equity markets up more than one percent overnight
- Tonight’s key data includes UK and US manufacturing and US employment change
AUD/USD
Traders keenly await Australia’s Q1 GDP numbers today which are likely to disappoint. The AUD is starting to show signs of
weakness especially on the crosses and China was a seller above 1.0700 overnight so any bullish headway for the AUD is
likely to involve a lot of hard work. Currently below 1.0710 the pair needs to overcome that level to ease the bearish tone.
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XAU/USD
Gold remains trapped in the range in the near term with support seen at 1515 and resistance at 1540. In the near term, we
expect this trading range to hold, but over the medium term, a push above this level seems likely.
EUR/USD
With overnight renewed hopes of a second bailout to Greece the EUR has just broken through yesterday’s highs at 1.4425.
Traders see short term upward momentum and will target 1.4500 static resistance as next level and above here at 1.4585. On
the downside support is seen at 1.4365 and below here 1.4255.
GBP/USD
Traders seem content playing the range in GBP waiting for a break of critical levels before initiating new positions. To the
downside a break of 1.6300 would be seen as a very bearish signal while 1.6545 has capped any upside move so far. Should
we manage a fresh push higher above 1.6550 market would target 1.6750 in the near term.
USD/JPY
While USD/JPY saw a sharp move higher in late Asia after Moody’s announced a possible downgrade of Japanese debt the
range parameters of 80.70-82.25 is still firmly intact with neither side able to grab the upper hand.
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY broke higher out of the technical triangle highlighted in yesterday’s report after Moody’s announced a possible
downgrade of Japan’s Aa2 local and foreign currency bonds. To the downside 80.60 should provide support while a clear
break of 87.20 is needed for fresh push higher.
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OIL
Crude has continued to push higher over the last few days as risk appetite returned to the market. For now support is seen at 102.00, while resistance is at 103.30.
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