Forex Market Insight 07/22/2011
The Forex Market Insight Report shows charts on different major currencies and commodities, with brief commentaries on how new data releases and news cause movements in the market.
Headline:
- Euro pushes higher as EU ministers agree on long-term debt plan
- Strong Philly Fed also boosts optimism
- AUD breaks above 1.0800 for first time in month as risk rallies
- Gold lower as traders exit „safety‟ trade, but crude higher
- US equity markets see strong gains to close 1.2% higher
- Not much data due today, but US debt negotiations crucial
AUD/USD
The Aussie burst through resistance at 1.0800 and this now sets up a move to the all-time highs at 1.1000. Traders will be waiting for a pullback to 1.0800 in order to take new longs. Minor resistance is seen at 1.0900.
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XAU/USD
Gold was sent lower as investors exited the safety trade on the back of the Euro debt agreement. Gold failed near the all-time highs and that could inject some weakness into the precious metal. A move back to 1575 is still likely to be seen as a buying opportunity. The US debt deal will be crucial for the near term price action.
EUR/USD
The positive reaction to the Eurozone‟s debt strategy saw the Euro surge higher, breaking through 1.4300 and heading directly to 1.4400. From here, the market could pause in the near term, but any pullback to 1.4300 will be seen as a new buying opportunity.
GBP/USD
The pound has finally broken higher out of its week-long trading range and this is likely to be seen as a bullish move. A pull back to 1.6200 will be seen as buyable, while resistance is seen at 1.6420.
USD/JPY
The dollar-yen broke lower overnight before bouncing back higher into the trading range. From here, traders are looking for new shorts from higher levels, with any move back towards 79.00 seen as a selling opportunity.
SILVER
The dollar-yen broke lower overnight before bouncing back higher into the trading range. From here, traders are looking for new shorts from higher levels, with any move back towards 79.00 seen as a selling opportunity.
USD/CHF
The USD/CHF continues to head lower after rejecting levels up at 82.80 and traders are focusing in a move back to support at 80.80. With the US‟s debt negotiations in full flight, expect this pair to be driven by the news flow.
GBP/JPY
Like the GBP/USD, we saw a big push higher overnight as the pound benefited from the Eurozone debt deal. The market will be in a bit of a muddle now, with the GBPJPY forming a bullish pattern, but unable to break above 128.20. Traders will continue to focus in the downside until we see a clear break above 128.20.
AUD/JPY
The AUD/JPY didn‟t overly benefit from the overnight move and this means we will stay bearish until we see a break above 85.20. The Japanese yen has displayed some good strength recently as this is hampering the Aussie‟s move higher on this pair.
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OIL
Crude made several attempts higher overnight but the 100 levels has been stubborn for the September crude contract. Traders are likely to continue to work the short side from higher levels, although an eventual break higher is seen as a a likely possibility in the near term.
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