Forex Market Insight 22 September 2011
The Forex Market Insight Report shows charts on different major currencies and commodities, with brief commentaries on how new data releases and news cause movements in the market.
Headline:
- Fed’s Operation Twist disappoints markets; focus on Fed’s downbeat forecasts
- US long-term yields collapse under ‘Twist’ pressure
- Risk assets sharply lower as US equities tank; Dow down 2.5%
- AUD/USD breaks lower; heads to 1.0000
- Gold, oil also both lower as stimulus disappoints
- China, Eurozone back in focus with manufacturing and services numbers due this evening
AUD/USD
The Aussie broke sharply lower overnight on the back of the Fed’s statement. From here, a retracement back to 1.0150 would provide the best set-up for new shorts.
GOLD
Gold tried to break above 1810 over the last 24 hours, but the precious metals couldn’t hold the highs before reversing back into the descending triangle. Traders will now remain focused on the downside with a break of 1760 another chance for shorts.
EUR/USD
Again overnight, we saw the Euro push up to the weekly highs before being swiftly sent lower. The focus will remain on the downside with a break of 1.3500 the major level for new shorts.
GBP/USD
The GBP/USD has continued sharply lower over the last 24 hours after overnight data saw a massive increase in public borrowing. In the near term, a move back towards 1.5560 could be seen as a chance for new shorts.
USD/JPY
The dollar-yen continues to trade within the range and there’s been no change to the strategy for the last month or so. Traders will be looking to buy moves toward 76.30/50 and sell moves into 77.50/70.
SILVER
Silver remains trapped under the downtrend resistance line and the market will continue to focus on the downside. Any clear break below 39.00 is likely to accelerate the selling.
USD/CHF
The dollar-Swiss has now clearly broken above the trading range and this shifts the market tone to bullish. A pullback to 89.00 will be seen as buyable.
GBP/JPY
The sterling-yen was smashed to new all-time lows overnight and the bears are clearly in control of the market. A retracement back to 119.20 will provide the best new trading opportunities on short side.
AUD/JPY
The AUD/JPY is clearly in the control of the bears with the market now focused on major support at 76.60. The market will be waiting for a retracement to 77.75 or a break of 76.60 for new shorts.
OIL
Crude was smashed overnight by the disappointment from the Fed and came below important support at 85.00. This 85.00 level will now be resistance with any move to the level providing the chance for new shorts.