The Forex Market Insight Report shows charts on different major currencies and commodities, with brief commentaries on how new data releases and news cause movements in the market.

Headline:

  • Gold reaches record highs again before reversing aggressively as extra margin requirements adds to thevolatility mix.
  • AUD consolidates above 1.0900 after a renewed run at 1.1000 as the market awaits the RBA decision today.
  • After initial strength in the USD on the Bin Laden news the consensus of higher interest rates around the globe see EUR push to fresh highs as the market factored in higher Eurozone interest rates later this week.
  • Oil backs away from the highs on Bin Laden death confirmation.
  • US equity markets closed small down with the Dow down 0.02%, S&P500 down 0.18% and Nasdaq down0.33%

AUD/USD
Traders are eagerly awaiting the RBA announcement at 2.30 this afternoon after playing the range from the long side proved successful overnight. Traders seem to be a little less bullish this morning as the failure to go on with it above 1.1000 on the second attempt has caused a bit of confusion. A break through 1.0890 is a quite bearish signal.

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XAU/USD
After the increase to the margin requirements by the exchanges there has been massive volatility overnight in Gold. This looks set to continue and although the trend is still upwards, traders are concerned about a possible break to the downside to 1520 and 1500 support where the buyers are expected to be accumulating.

EUR/USD
Patient bullish traders had a great day yesterday as the Bin Laden news allowed buying the dip to be extremely profitable. From here there is still bullish sentiment ahead of Thursday’s ECB rate announcement and traders are happy playing the range. Only a break back through 1.4750 could generate a bearish signal and traders happy to be buyers unless that breaks.

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GBP/USD
Leading into the BoE rate decision on Thursday it seems like dejavu with last month as the GBP struggles to make fresh highs as traders prefer the EUR at the moment. This being said traders are content to buy dips and stay long GBP so long as 1.6600 support holds but a break of 1.6590 could generate a significantly bearish signal.

USD/JPY
USD/JPY initially kicked higher on the Bin Laden news but the rally was stymied as the sellers emerged happy playing it from the short side so long as 82.00 provides resistance. We open the Asian session right on critical support and traders still calling it lower as the JPY crosses (EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY) look a little heavy also.

AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY broke lower out of it’s consolidation pattern of recent days and as we start the Asian session it is close to the 88.30 support. RBA decision today looks like being the determining factor and traders are happy to stay long while we stay above 88.20/30. However a break of this level could generate a significantly bearish signal.

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OIL
Oil was extremely volatile overnight as the ramifications of Bin Laden’s death cause the market to look for new direction. Traders are still watching the 110.00/50 level with a close eye as support was found again overnight and it seems that they are happy to stay long while this level holds, even though the new highs have not been so decisive.

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