Apple-loving analyst Gene Minster claims there is "pent up demand" among Verizon subscribers for iPhone 5 -- that something like 74 percent of potential Apple smartphone buyers will wait for the newer model. Little more than half of AT&T potential iPhone buyers (or upgraders) also plan to wait. Munster also found that 64 percent of those surveyed plan to buy an iPhone as their next handset. The Piper Jaffray analyst bases this amazing discovery on a sample of 216 cell phone users. Hell, we can get more people right here and now with a poll.

Two-hundred sixteen? Geez Louise, and now his findings are making headlines on this fine August morning. I saw it first at Apple Insider. Of course, people are going to wait with rumors of iPhone 5 coming in September -- or October, as All Things Digital claims today. But to call it three-quarters of buyers based on little more than 200 people -- quick! Kick me so I don't pass out from shock.

There are problems with Munster's data, even taking the most cursory look. Apparently, he conducted the survey in the Minneapolis area. I lived in MPLS for a year and wouldn't call it a petri dish for the rest of the country. The findings that matter and should be base for others don't jive with other surveys conducted by ComScore and Nielsen, which do have large samples. Among Munster's respondents, 29 percent have iPhone, 28 percent BlackBerry and 17 percent Android. According to Nielsen, the number of US cellular subscribers with a smartphone running Android is 39 percent -- 28 percent for iOS and 20 percent for BlackBerry OS. ComScore puts Android at 38.1 percent, iOS at 26.6 percent and BlackBerry at 24.7 percent.

So exactly where does Munster's 17 percent Android come from? It doesn't sync with either of the two other reputable analyst firms, which data trends consistently. If the number of Android users is lower than the real market, it will skew the data and give higher findings for iPhone. Or perhaps: Many of the respondents don't know what operating system their phone has, but they've heard of iPhone -- how can they not with all the advertising Apple does?

Two weeks ago, I asked: "Which matters more to you, Android or iOS?" The question was mainly aimed at developers, and there were two polls. By the way, before continuing, UI developer Robert Johnson answers the question in a post here today: He chooses iOS. In the first poll, I asked, simply: "What operating system runs on your primary non-PC mobile device (e.g., smartphone or tablet)?" Among the 1,602 respondents (as I write this), 59.43 percent answered Android. For iOS, 19.73 percent; Windows Phone 7, 10.42 percent; BlackBerry, 3.43 percent; and Symbian, 3.31 percent.