MARKETS

Uranium Update

By Greg PeelIn this week's regular uranium report (Uranium: A New Dynamic) I noted that pre-quake trade had the uranium spot price rising for the first week in many, by US$1.00 to US$67.75/lb on industry consultant TradeTech's weekly indication. It's all academic now of course, given the situation in Japan has thrown the global uranium industry into turmoil.Fellow consultant UxC published its week...

High Frequency Trading - Some Home Truths

(This story was originally published on March 10, 2011. It has now been made available to non-paying members at FNArena and to readers elsewhere.)The following is the text of a speech prepared by Greg Peel and delivered in November 2009 to a financial markets seminar in Singapore. The text is no less relevant today and given the attention being directed towards high frequency trading in the US and...

World Market Overview 18/03/2011

U.S. stocks were on track to post their first gain in four sessions Thursday as bets that rebuilding efforts in Japan could lift energy and industrial companies and offset anxieties around the country's nuclear power crisis.
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Japan: Ignore The Alarmists, Especially Where Australia And Quakes Are Concerned

The early gloomsters are out and about proclaiming that Australia will suffer from any sell off of Japanese investments or from any slump in Japanese economic activity as a result of the quake, tsunami and nuclear crisis.Many of these 'experts' are the same who saw collapse and debt crisis in the GFC for Australia, and have yet to get around to correcting some of their more outrageous co...

China's Inflation Problem

- Oil is China's biggest import- Oil price strength pushing inflation higher- Currency revaluation should followBy Greg PeelAs Libya descended into civil war and Saudis threatened a Day of Rage, the price of Brent crude reached a peak above US$116/bbl. The Saudi protest did not materialise and thus took some of the heat off the oil price, but it is the immediate reaction to the Japanese earthquake...

The Overnight Report: Alarmist Comments Fuel Stock Meltdown

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed down 225 points or 2% while the S&P lost 2% to 1256 and the Nasdaq dropped 1.9%. The S&P is now one point down for 2011.I suggested yesterday that Prime Minister Kan appeared to be keeping the world up to date with developments – a far cry from the Chernobyl incident in Russia which saw the first alarm raised by Sweden. The Japanese are renowned for their calm in a...

World Market Overview 17/03/2011

The Australian share market closed in the black for the first time in the past six trading sessions, triggered by strong gains in Tokyo and buoyed by bargain hunting.

Australian Stock Market Report - Morning 17/03/2011

US producer prices rose by 1.6pct in February - marking the largest monthly increase in 18 months. In the 12 months to February producer prices were up 5.6pct. Energy price surged by 3.3pct in February.

Reports: Rio Confident, For Now

A rather bullish outlook from major miner Rio Tinto in its 2010 review released yesterday helped the shares rebound nearly 2% in yesterday's steadying market.The shares rose $1.53, or 1.98%, to $78.94 after being as high as $79.52 in the morning as investor sentiment about stocks, especially commodities and uranium miners (Rio has a mine or two in Australia and South Africa), recovered from T...

No More Free Online Digital Music?

Music and record-producing companies will soon realize the untapped potential of digital music subscription that will also curb the availability of free music downloads online.

At Last, Good News From Europe

- The eurozone has surprised by suddenly announcing new agreements- The bail-out fund is now bigger and concessions have been made to Greece- It's an improvement, albeit still not enough to cover Italy- But it may yet prove a turning pointBy Greg PeelLast week the world was distracted by MENA uprisings, including planned Saudi protests and the ongoing civil war in Libya. But Europe was suddenly ba...

Daily Forex Forecast 16/03/2011

News of another explosion at the Fukushima nuclear power station sent shockwaves through global markets. With the Nikkei plunging more than -10%, the largest one day decline since 1987, risk liquidation accelerated weighing the Aussie down. Initial reactions saw the Australian Dollar slide to 0.9925 against the Greenback.

World Market Overview Report 16/03/2011

U.S. stocks sank Tuesday as worries deepened over the specter of a nuclear crisis and economic slowdown in Japan, but encouraging comments from the Federal Reserve kept the losses in check.

Material Matters: Japan's Disaster And Commodity Markets

- Experts are trying to assess Japan's earthquake and commodity market implications- LNG, Coal likely winners- Long-term contracts to support uranium- Oil price forecasts also liftedBy Chris ShawThe full impact of the damage and losses suffered in Japan in the wake of the earthquake and tsunami that struck on Friday afternoon still cannot be accurately assessed, but with markets remaining open bro...

The Overnight Report: We Just Don't Know

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed down 137 points or 1.2% while the S&P lost 1.1% to 1281 and the Nasdaq dropped 1.3%.The first thing to note here is that Australia is currently leading Wall Street rather than following it as usual, given the critical situation at present is in the Asian time zone. Having fallen 6% on Monday, yesterday the Nikkei fell another 10% as the focus moved from the cost of the t...

The Fed: No Change

Don't expect too much in the way of changed language from the post meeting statement from the Fed.In reality not much has really changed from the last meeting in January.A small improvement in the jobs market is being offset by fears the damage that could flow from oil prices above $US100 a barrel and petrol prices between $US3 and $US4 a gallon.Inflation fears are overdone; the overhang of u...

The Economy: No Move On Rates

Australian interest rates will be on hold for a while longer as the central bank confirms that it will ignore short term blips and troughs in inflation and other data caused by the floods and bad weather.In the minutes of the March 1 board meeting, released yesterday the RBA said."Members confirmed that the Board's approach would be to look through temporary effects caused by extreme weather ...

Could The Quake Actually Benefit QBE?

By Greg PeelIs the world about to end? Fans of the Book of Revelation may be somewhat inclined to believe so, but seismologists recently interviewed by the media have played down the implications of the seemingly endless stream of seismological events the world has suffered over the past couple of years, noting that such activity usually occurs in clusters. Eventually the earth will settle down ag...

At a glance: Australian business reacts to Japan quake

Australian uranium exporters spearheaded a fall in Australian's stock market Monday after a devastating earthquake and tsunami last week hit Japan, Australia's second biggest trading partner behind China. Insurers and agricultural companies also fell, while steelmakers, oil refiners and clean energy producers were among a handful of gainers. The S&P/ASX 200 was down 1.2% at 4588.3 points around 0220 GMT after earlier hitting low of 4564.1.

Uranium: A New Dynamic

By Greg PeelRegular readers of this weekly report will appreciate that it summarises activity in the spot uranium market from the week before as noted by industry consultant TradeTech, and notes the indicative price for the week set by TradeTech. While this week's report will briefly summarise last week's activity, let us be clear all reported transactions occurred in blissful ignorance of what wa...

Daily Forex Forecast 15/03/2011

The Australian Dollar weakened against the US Dollar as Japan's biggest earthquake dampened demand for higher yielding assets.

World Market Overview 15/03/2011

U.S. stocks fell to six-week lows Monday as investors worried about the financialfallout from Japan's devastating earthquake and tsunami.

Asian Equity Investment Requires Caution

- Asian stocks have been undervalued on US economic strength vis a vis Asian tightening- The potential is there for a strong June quarter- QE2 uncertainty nevertheless throws up risks- Australia is a foreign proxy for Asia By Greg PeelAsian equities have been a popular destination for foreign investment flows post-GFC given the disparity between soaring emerging market GDP growth compared to strug...

The Overnight Report: Sifting Through The Sectors

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed down 51 points or 0.4% while the S&P lost 0.6% to 1296 and the Nasdaq fell 0.5%.Please note the US went on to summer time over the weekend. For the next three weeks the NYSE will close at 7am Sydney time before Australia reverts to standard time on April 3 after which the NYSE will close at 6am Sydney time.In the light of the tragedy in Japan, one feels rather uncomforta...

Markets: As Expected, Japan Mauled

As expected Japanese shares were hammered yesterday in the wake of Friday's quake and tsunami, and the explosions at nuclear reactors at Fukushima on Sunday and yesterday.Shares fell more than 6%, to be down almost 8% since the quake happened after the 1.7% fall late last Friday afternoon after the quake happened.The Nikkei ended down 6.2% at 9620.49.Tokyo Electric Power shares plunged 24% ye...

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