MARKETS

World Is Watching USD (And So Should You)

FNArena has added another video to its Investors Education section on the website.ATW's Jerry Simmons gives a rare insight into his weekly wrap sessions for market traders. Underlying theme is the USD should be closely watched for financial markets' direction, while the underlying trend for US equities appears to be down (short and medium term). Total duration of this educational broadcast is 53 m...

Crude Could Reach Support At 9350

By Jamie SaetteleNear term, beware of a sharp decline that drops below 9562 prior to the next leg higher. 9350 (61.8% retracement) should be strong support. “This breakout should be respected as per the measured level that intersects with the top of channel resistance in July. The Fibonacci objective is 11660. This bullish breakout scenario is valid as long as price is above 8736.”The ...

Australian Dollar Outlook 3/3/2011

Australia's GDP rose by 0.7% in Q4, marginally below expectations. The next release for Q1is widely expected to be flat, given the impact of widespread flooding throughout the summer.

The Overnight Report: Indecision

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed up 8 points or 0.1% while the S&P added 0.2% to 1308 and the Nasdaq gained 0.4%.It was a case of ups and downs on the newsflow for Wall Street last night as the buyers and sellers fought hard to stay either side of the flatline. Ahead of the opening bell the ADP private sector jobs report was released for February and showed an increase of 217,000 jobs compared to consen...
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Retailing: Metcash Joins The Downgraders

Metcash shares eased yesterday to an eight month low yesterday after the company cut its 2011 full year profit forecast in half.Metcash said underlying earnings growth is now expected to be in the range of 3% to 5% - down from the previously forecast 6%-8%.The group joined its bigger rival Woolworths in cutting its earnings guidance for the full year.Woolies new guidance is for earnings growth of ...

Changes: Westfield

The Lowy Family's hold on Westfield Group was eased a touch yesterday with David Lowy stepping down (along with long time director, David Gonski), and 80 year old co-founder frank Lowy stepping back to be a non-executive chairman.The news, conveyed to the market in this announcement had little impact on the securities of Westfield Group; they closed down 7c at $9.57 in a market that was weake...

Chandler Macleod, The Stand Out

- Outsourcing and recruitment company Chandler Macleod delivered a standout interim profit result - Further growth expected - Stockbroker Moelis rates stock a BuyBy Chris ShawChandler Macleod is a human resources outsourcing and recruitment company that operates on both the recruiting and contracting sides of the blue-collar, office support, technical IT, health professional and executive markets....

Australian Dollar Outlook 2/3/2011

The Australian Dollar has opened lower today after a weak night in US equities driven by renewed concern about the price of oil with a 4% rise in WTI and Brent oil.

Daily Forex Forecast - 02/03/2011

The Australian Dollar had a mixed day's trade onshore during Asia yesterday with a better than anticipated 0.4% increase in retail sales initially pushing the Aussie to very briefly test 1.0200. Markets then proceeded to gravitate down from this high and further ground was lost in the afternoon off the back of the RBA's interest rate statement.

World Market Overview Report 02/03/2011

U.S. stocks fell hard Tuesday as oil approached $100 a barrel and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said rising energy prices could dent the recovery. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 147.04 points, or 1.2%, to 12,078.30, with 24 of its 30 components in the red.

Australian Stock Market - Morning 2/3/2011

US ISM manufacturing rose from 60.8 to 61.4 in January - marking the highest reading in seven years. The new orders sub component also hit a seven year high. The employment sub index rose to its highest reading since 1973.

What Your Investment Guru Isn?t Telling You

By Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist Monday, February 28, 2011: Issue #1458Two weeks ago, I spoke at The World Money Show in Orlando – one of the largest investment conferences in the country. More than 11,000 investors registered to attend. (Unfortunately, the conference room was far too small. It filled up half an hour before I spoke and we ended up turning away a couple of hund...

The Overnight Report: Middle East Tensions Escalate

By Greg PeelThe Dow fell 168 points or 1.4% while the S&P lost 1.6% to 1306 and the Nasdaq lost 1.6%.The Madman of Tripoli will not go easily as hoped, and reports suggest Gaddafi's forces have regained control of oil terminals east of the capital. The UN is now applying sanctions and the US has frozen US$30bn in Libyan assets, but resolution, it appears, will not be as swift as that in Egypt.Mean...

Oz GDP Pushes Rate Rise Further Out

- GDP up 0.7% qoq and 2.7% yoy in line with consensus- Mixed result suggests offsetting weakness in Q1- No reason for RBA to move until the second halfBy Greg PeelAustralia's gross domestic product grew by 0.7% in the December quarter over the September quarter and 2.7% over the December quarter 2009. The result represents a solid increase on the September quarter growth rate of 0.1% (revised down...

The Economy: Rates On Hold, For Now...

No rate rise from the Reserve Bank yesterday and no concern, yet about the outlook.A sort of steady as she goes statement from the Governor Glenn Stevens after the board meeting.The impact of the Queensland and Victorian floods, plus Cyclone Yasi seems not to be as big a fear as it was a month ago.Mr Stevens said, "The effects of the natural disasters over the summer have reduced output, but produ...

RBA keeps cash rates on hold

The Reserve Bank of Australia board has decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 4.75 per cent at its monthly meeting today.

Spot Uranium Stabilising

By Greg PeelIndustry consultant TradeTech's indicative uranium spot price was set at the end of last week at US$67.50/lb, down US$1.00 from the previous week. This follows a US$4.25 drop the week before and the first drop following the big run-up, of US25c, the week before that.So that makes three down weeks but TradeTech suggests there are signs the spot price is stabilising. Nervous sellers rema...

Daily Forex Forecast 01/03/2011

Comments from a Chinese banker pertaining to monetary policy saw the Australian Dollar finish yesterday's local session almost half a cent higher.

World Market Overview Report 01/03/2011

U.S. stocks were mixed Monday as oil prices paused from their recent rally while investors were encouraged by comments from a top Federal Reserve official.

Australian Dollar Outlook 28/2/2011

With little influential data released during the offshore session the AUD traded fairly flat, opening only slightly higher this morning at USD1.0180.

The Overnight Report: The Bulls Are Back

By Greg PeelThe Dow rose 95 points or 0.8% while the S&P gained 0.6% to 1327 and the Nasdaq was steady.There was a lot going on in the Monday session to give stocks a further kick along. Firstly it was month-end, when often fund managers push up prices to make their returns more appealing. Given blue chips are in favour at present we can see a bit of influence here in the Dow's outperformance.Then...

Oz Data, GDP And An RBA On Hold

- Upside risk to tomorrow's Q4 GDP result- Q1 data mixed to date- RBA going nowhereBy Greg PeelBefore we get to the RBA's monetary policy statement for March, let us review some of the recently released economic data.It's at this time of the quarter that economists are furiously rejigging their Australian GDP forecasts, given the raft of quarterly data released only days before the actual GDP resu...

Commodities: 20% Iron Ore Price Rise Possible

Just when many analysts thought iron ore prices couldn't go much higher there's news of another round of big price rises in the offing.In fact the huge surge in profits seen in the last half of 2010 will be repeated this half, and especially the June quarter with prices up 40% or more above a year earlier.BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and other iron ore exporters are looking for a surprise 20%...

The Economy: Nothing To Scare A Rate Rise Out Of The RBA

No change in the economy's current sluggish pace, judging by yesterday's data.Headline inflation remains reasonably high, driven by the rain and flood damage to vegetables and fruit, business credit is subdued, business stocks rose in the three months to December, corporate profits fell slightly and wages and salaries were up a touch.Nothing will influence the Reserve Bank at its board m...

Results: Now QRN Is Very Popular

Guess which company is now a stockmarket darling, despite a second half profit warning yesterday?Why, it's Queensland railway operator, QR National, the stock many local fund managers spurned in the noisy privatisation late last year.Now they want it because it's showing some potential, but more importantly it is about to be included in a number of major market measurement indexes, and f...

Australian Stock Market - Midday 2/28/2011

The Australian market has started off the week a little lower for the fifth day out of the last six. The All Ordinaries index (XAO) is down 0.2 pct or 12.1 pts to 4912.8. Most sectors are in the red at lunch, however the energy sector is gaining quite strongly after a few hours of trade.

Unlisted Property Trust Investment

(This story was originally published on 17th February, 2011. It has now been re-published to make it available to non-paying members at FNArena and to readers elsewhere).- Post-GFC, investors are seeking safer risk/reward profiles- Managed property remains a popular investment- Unlisted trusts have experienced much lower return volatility this past decade than other assets- The burgeoning pool of ...

REPEAT Rudi's View: This Time It's (Not) Different

(This story was originally published on Wednesday, 23rd February, 2011. It has now been re-published to make it available to non-paying members at FNArena and to readers elsewhere). - it would seem my personal indicator has once again correctly indicated the share market was overheated- as long as investor sentiment remains positive towards the US economy, any pull backs are likely to remain benig...

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